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Qual 352015 Central Illinois Regional
Red29
402837.3
424116.8
421220.4
Blue40
173914.8
11133.7
203923.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616901001502002503003502940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#10
37.32.0
30.5→28.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 3.5
111
#15
33.72.1
28.8→26.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
4212
#27
20.42.0
19.7→17.7
Auto2.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 2.7
2039
#20
23.12.1
22.6→20.5
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
4241
#37
16.82.0
14.7→12.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 2.0
1739
#26
14.82.1
19.4→17.3
Auto0.6
Teleop14.2
End0.0