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Qual 362015 Central Illinois Regional
Red115
87646.6
204032.7
544227.2
Blue48
202216.3
400934.3
431410.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7253020408010012014016011548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#5
46.62.2
35.2→37.4
Auto0.1
Teleop46.5
End0.0
red by 12.3
4009
#11
34.30.5
28.4→27.9
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Second
2040
#7
32.72.2
21.8→24.0
Auto2.1
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 16.4
2022
#24
16.30.8
21.0→20.2
Auto0.7
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
5442
#13
27.23.6
14.8→18.4
Auto0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 16.9
4314
#31
10.30.8
8.3→7.5
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0