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Red40
350711.7
235820.9
566518.3
Blue34
6318.7
392828.7
421316.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496001001502002503004034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2358
#25
20.91.0
21.120.1
Auto0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 7.7
3928
#17
28.72.2
25.723.5
Auto1.1
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Second
5665
#28
18.31.0
16.815.7
Auto0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 0.4
63
#33
18.72.2
21.519.3
Auto0.3
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
3507
#39
11.71.0
14.713.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 4.6
4213
#36
16.31.3
13.512.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0