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Qual 462015 Central Illinois Regional
Red122
424116.8
245740.9
566518.3
Blue153
251255.7
248182.1
306716.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions441530100200250300122153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2457
#6
40.93.0
36.6→39.6
Auto0.2
Teleop40.7
End0.0
blue by 41.2
2481
#1
82.10.6
75.8→76.3
Auto10.9
Teleop71.2
End0.0
Second
5665
#28
18.34.6
13.3→18.0
Auto0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 37.4
2512
#2
55.70.6
44.0→44.6
Auto14.5
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Third
4241
#37
16.84.9
12.7→17.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Level
3067
#23
16.90.9
22.1→23.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0