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Qual 472015 Central Illinois Regional
Red31
208131.1
285611.4
392828.7
Blue132
222023.6
400934.3
175653.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5492015020031132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2081
#12
31.12.4
19.3→17.0
Auto0.3
Teleop30.8
End0.0
blue by 22.8
1756
#4
53.93.3
43.6→46.9
Auto3.0
Teleop50.8
End0.0
Second
3928
#17
28.72.4
28.5→26.1
Auto1.1
Teleop27.6
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4009
#11
34.32.1
27.1→29.2
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Third
2856
#35
11.42.4
13.8→11.4
Auto0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 12.2
2220
#21
23.62.1
19.0→21.1
Auto1.3
Teleop22.3
End0.0