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Red110
402837.3
173626.1
235820.9
Blue99
320124.3
173914.8
352837.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7161020408010012014016011099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#10
37.32.9
29.332.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.8
End0.0
blue by 0.4
37.71.7
25.327.1
Auto0.7
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
1736
#16
26.12.9
25.028.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 1.8
3201
#19
24.32.7
23.225.9
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Third
2358
#25
20.92.9
17.920.9
Auto0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 6.1
1739
#26
14.82.7
15.918.6
Auto0.6
Teleop14.2
End0.0