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Qual 492015 Central Illinois Regional
Red62
464634.3
350711.7
203923.1
Blue16
431410.3
421220.4
11133.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69510204060801001201406216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#14
34.30.3
32.7→32.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
red by 0.5
111
#15
33.73.1
31.8→28.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
2039
#20
23.10.5
21.3→20.8
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 2.7
4212
#27
20.43.1
15.5→12.4
Auto2.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
3507
#39
11.70.5
14.9→14.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 1.5
4314
#31
10.33.1
8.8→5.6
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0