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Red22
424116.8
41569.0
553719.5
Blue124
93819.2
87646.6
414352.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2610905015020025022124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5537
#29
19.51.4
16.214.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 33.4
52.81.9
41.843.7
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
4241
#37
16.81.4
17.716.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 29.8
876
#5
46.61.2
40.441.6
Auto0.1
Teleop46.5
End0.0
Third
4156
#38
9.01.4
6.45.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 10.2
938
#30
19.21.2
17.518.7
Auto0.6
Teleop18.6
End0.0