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Red64
566518.3
320124.3
17125.8
Blue82
6318.7
424116.8
11133.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71642040801001201406482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
#18
25.80.6
28.828.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 8.0
111
#15
33.71.0
30.931.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
3201
#19
24.30.6
25.925.3
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 5.6
63
#33
18.71.0
20.521.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
5665
#28
18.30.6
18.017.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 1.5
4241
#37
16.81.0
16.017.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0