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Qual 602015 Central Illinois Regional
Red118
87646.6
553719.5
222023.6
Blue135
248182.1
245740.9
173626.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601540100200250300118135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#5
46.62.3
41.7→44.1
Auto0.1
Teleop46.5
End0.0
blue by 35.5
2481
#1
82.10.5
76.4→75.9
Auto10.9
Teleop71.2
End0.0
Second
2220
#21
23.62.3
20.2→22.5
Auto1.3
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 17.3
2457
#6
40.90.5
39.4→38.9
Auto0.2
Teleop40.7
End0.0
Third
5537
#29
19.53.1
15.4→18.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 6.6
1736
#16
26.10.7
29.1→28.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0