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Red158
421220.4
414352.8
251255.7
Blue56
270416.6
235820.9
285611.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1133905010015020015856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.72.6
49.051.6
Auto14.5
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 34.7
2358
#25
20.90.2
23.123.4
Auto0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
52.83.5
44.347.8
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 36.2
2704
#34
16.60.2
17.818.1
Auto0.8
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
4212
#27
20.43.5
12.516.0
Auto2.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 8.9
2856
#35
11.40.2
11.311.6
Auto0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0