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Red100
464634.3
64819.9
6318.7
Blue142
400934.3
352837.7
208131.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6481050100150200250100142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#14
34.31.5
31.933.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
blue by 3.4
37.73.0
29.832.9
Auto0.7
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
648
#22
19.92.1
15.517.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 14.4
4009
#11
34.33.0
30.833.8
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Third
63
#33
18.72.1
21.623.7
Auto0.3
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 12.4
2081
#12
31.14.1
20.624.7
Auto0.3
Teleop30.8
End0.0