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Red100
245740.9
235820.9
544227.2
Blue32
285611.4
421220.4
222023.6
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions944005015020010032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.5
38.939.5
Auto0.2
Teleop40.7
End0.0
red by 17.3
2220
#21
23.60.9
22.521.6
Auto1.3
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
5442
#13
27.20.7
26.927.5
Auto0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 6.8
4212
#27
20.41.1
16.014.9
Auto2.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
2358
#25
20.90.7
23.424.0
Auto0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 9.5
2856
#35
11.41.1
11.610.5
Auto0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0