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Red88
17125.8
11133.7
251255.7
Blue131
248182.1
64819.9
41569.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111915015020088131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.2
51.650.4
Auto14.5
Teleop41.1
End0.0
blue by 26.4
82.11.7
75.977.6
Auto10.9
Teleop71.2
End0.0
Second
111
#15
33.71.5
31.930.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 13.8
648
#22
19.92.1
17.619.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
171
#18
25.81.5
28.326.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 16.7
4156
#38
9.02.1
3.96.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop9.6
End0.0