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Red20
93819.2
202216.3
173626.1
Blue25
170115.6
350711.7
6318.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70500204060801001201401602025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#16
26.13.0
28.425.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 7.4
63
#33
18.71.9
23.721.8
Auto0.3
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
938
#30
19.22.5
19.016.5
Auto0.6
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 3.6
1701
#32
15.61.5
14.813.3
Auto0.6
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
2022
#24
16.33.0
22.119.0
Auto0.7
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 4.5
3507
#39
11.71.9
16.814.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.1
End0.0