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Red70
566518.3
431410.3
306716.9
Blue134
414352.8
409637.6
421316.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3010005015020070134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#28
18.31.7
17.719.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 34.6
52.82.5
47.850.3
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
3067
#23
16.91.7
18.220.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 20.7
37.62.5
35.037.6
Auto0.9
Teleop36.7
End0.0
Third
4314
#31
10.31.7
5.87.5
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 6.1
4213
#36
16.32.1
10.012.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0