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Qual 742015 Central Illinois Regional
Red165
248182.1
204032.7
431410.3
Blue142
320124.3
251255.7
93819.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11780050100150200165142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
82.12.5
77.6→80.1
Auto10.9
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 26.4
2512
#2
55.72.7
50.4→53.1
Auto14.5
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
2040
#7
32.72.5
30.2→32.7
Auto2.1
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 8.4
3201
#19
24.33.0
21.4→24.3
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Third
4314
#31
10.32.8
7.5→10.3
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 8.9
938
#30
19.22.7
16.5→19.2
Auto0.6
Teleop18.6
End0.0