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Red141
352837.7
421316.3
402837.3
Blue92
17125.8
414352.8
222023.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739905015020025014192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.73.1
33.436.5
Auto0.7
Teleop37.0
End0.0
blue by 15.2
52.80.0
50.350.3
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
4028
#10
37.33.4
33.937.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 11.5
171
#18
25.80.0
26.826.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Third
4213
#36
16.33.1
12.115.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 7.3
2220
#21
23.60.0
21.621.6
Auto1.3
Teleop22.3
End0.0