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Red125
175653.9
248182.1
222023.6
Blue103
400934.3
352837.7
11133.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16089050200250125103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.10.5
80.580.0
Auto10.9
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 44.4
37.70.0
36.936.9
Auto0.7
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
53.90.5
52.351.8
Auto3.0
Teleop50.8
End0.0
red by 19.6
4009
#11
34.30.0
33.533.5
Auto0.8
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Third
2220
#21
23.60.5
22.021.5
Auto1.3
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 10.1
111
#15
33.70.0
33.033.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop33.8
End0.0