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Quarterfinal pool 32015 Central Illinois Regional
Red131
414352.8
251255.7
421220.4
Blue88
173626.1
208131.1
392828.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1247505010015020025013188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#2
55.70.2
53.1→53.3
Auto14.5
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 24.6
2081
#12
31.10.0
31.0→31.0
Auto0.3
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Second
4143
#3
52.80.2
50.3→50.4
Auto1.6
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 24.2
3928
#17
28.70.0
28.6→28.6
Auto1.1
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Third
4212
#27
20.40.2
17.8→18.0
Auto2.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 5.7
1736
#16
26.10.0
26.0→26.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.3
End0.0