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Red49
174738.0
174143.1
498231.6
Blue134
286740.8
172047.5
394038.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10812505015020025030049134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.1
43.942.8
Auto2.2
Teleop40.9
End0.0
blue by 4.4
47.50.1
47.847.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop47.5
End0.0
Second
1747
#23
38.01.1
38.737.6
Auto0.1
Teleop37.8
End0.0
blue by 2.9
40.80.1
41.141.2
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
4982
#18
31.61.1
32.331.2
Auto1.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 6.6
3940
#20
38.20.1
38.438.5
Auto0.8
Teleop37.3
End0.0