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Red110
518857.7
13564.2
448533.6
Blue200
102455.2
23479.2
29238.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152172050100200250300110200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#2
64.20.8
66.065.1
Auto3.5
Teleop60.7
End0.0
blue by 15.0
234
#1
79.20.4
80.080.4
Auto6.4
Teleop72.8
End0.0
Second
57.70.8
59.458.6
Auto0.1
Teleop57.6
End0.0
red by 2.5
55.20.4
56.056.4
Auto2.8
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Third
4485
#24
33.60.8
35.334.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
blue by 4.8
292
#16
38.40.4
39.239.6
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0