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Red122
174738.0
7152.8
101831.6
Blue83
86844.8
386526.7
394746.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104895015012283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#5
52.80.8
48.749.5
Auto1.1
Teleop51.8
End0.0
red by 6.3
3947
#12Sur
46.50.6
42.441.8
Auto1.1
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Second
1747
#23
38.00.8
35.236.0
Auto0.1
Teleop37.8
End0.0
blue by 6.9
868
#15
44.80.6
35.534.9
Auto1.0
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Third
1018
#21Sur
31.60.8
21.822.6
Auto0.3
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 4.9
3865
#27Sur
26.70.6
16.415.9
Auto0.6
Teleop26.0
End0.0