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Red82
286740.8
4534.2
44748.6
Blue74
349438.3
540238.3
540337.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109760501502008274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#13Sur
48.61.3
44.443.2
Auto0.7
Teleop47.9
End0.0
red by 10.2
3494
#17Sur
38.30.5
32.632.1
Auto1.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0
Second
2867
#9Sur
40.81.3
33.732.4
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 2.6
5402
#14
38.30.5
26.526.1
Auto0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
Third
45
#28Sur
34.21.3
29.828.5
Auto1.3
Teleop32.9
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5403
#11
37.00.5
24.724.2
Auto0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0