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Red148
349438.3
7152.8
317631.0
Blue166
174738.0
540238.3
172047.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10496406080120140160148166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#5
52.82.1
49.551.6
Auto1.1
Teleop51.8
End0.0
red by 5.3
47.53.3
40.343.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop47.5
End0.0
Second
3494
#17
38.32.1
32.134.2
Auto1.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 0.1
5402
#14
38.33.3
26.129.3
Auto0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
Third
3176
#25
31.02.1
24.526.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0
blue by 6.9
1747
#23
38.03.3
34.037.3
Auto0.1
Teleop37.8
End0.0