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Red115
548433.7
394038.2
317631.0
Blue91
44748.6
427229.2
101831.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6675010020030040050011591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#20
38.22.3
29.031.3
Auto0.8
Teleop37.3
End0.0
blue by 10.4
447
#13
48.60.7
41.842.6
Auto0.7
Teleop47.9
End0.0
Second
5484
#22
33.72.3
20.222.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
red by 2.1
1018
#21
31.60.7
20.421.2
Auto0.3
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Third
3176
#25
31.02.3
20.322.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0
red by 1.8
4272
#26
29.20.7
13.814.6
Auto0.6
Teleop28.6
End0.0