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Red172
23479.2
540238.3
448533.6
Blue178
172047.5
518857.7
7152.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12512380100140160180172178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#1
79.22.3
69.071.2
Auto6.4
Teleop72.8
End0.0
red by 21.5
57.72.4
47.449.8
Auto0.1
Teleop57.6
End0.0
Second
5402
#14
38.32.3
25.427.6
Auto0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
blue by 14.6
71
#5
52.82.4
44.246.6
Auto1.1
Teleop51.8
End0.0
Third
4485
#24
33.62.3
32.634.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
blue by 13.9
47.52.4
38.540.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop47.5
End0.0