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Red178
394746.5
174738.0
174143.1
Blue106
164623.4
386526.7
286740.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101530150200178106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#12
46.54.0
40.044.0
Auto1.1
Teleop45.4
End0.0
red by 5.7
40.82.2
30.332.4
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Second
43.14.0
26.030.0
Auto2.2
Teleop40.9
End0.0
red by 16.5
3865
#27
26.72.2
13.515.7
Auto0.6
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
1747
#23
38.04.0
31.135.2
Auto0.1
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 14.6
1646
#30
23.42.2
18.620.8
Auto1.1
Teleop22.2
End0.0