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Red131
86844.8
29238.4
102455.2
Blue98
219724.8
498231.6
4534.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1296505010015020025013198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.20.4
54.655.0
Auto2.8
Teleop52.4
End0.0
red by 21.0
45
#28
34.21.0
30.431.4
Auto1.3
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Second
868
#15
44.80.4
35.135.5
Auto1.0
Teleop43.8
End0.0
red by 13.2
4982
#18
31.61.0
22.323.3
Auto1.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
292
#16
38.40.4
33.834.2
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0
red by 13.6
2197
#31
24.81.0
24.425.5
Auto1.4
Teleop23.4
End0.0