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Red136
150162.3
540238.3
7152.8
Blue149
23479.2
317631.0
394746.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121145050100200250300350136149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.30.4
48.048.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop62.8
End0.0
blue by 16.9
234
#1
79.20.1
76.376.4
Auto6.4
Teleop72.8
End0.0
Second
71
#5
52.80.4
51.652.0
Auto1.1
Teleop51.8
End0.0
red by 6.3
3947
#12
46.50.1
43.443.6
Auto1.1
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Third
5402
#14
38.30.4
29.329.7
Auto0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
red by 7.2
3176
#25
31.00.1
26.626.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0