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Red104
29238.4
174738.0
4534.2
Blue125
44748.6
448533.6
152928.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100966080120140160104125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#16
38.40.1
34.334.4
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0
blue by 10.2
447
#13
48.61.1
41.342.4
Auto0.7
Teleop47.9
End0.0
Second
1747
#23
38.00.1
37.337.5
Auto0.1
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 4.4
4485
#24
33.61.1
36.838.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Third
45
#28
34.20.1
29.829.9
Auto1.3
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 6.2
1529
#29
28.01.1
23.925.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.2
End0.0