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Red138
172047.5
164623.4
102455.2
Blue154
548433.7
86844.8
540337.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11879050100150200138154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.21.1
55.656.7
Auto2.8
Teleop52.4
End0.0
red by 10.4
868
#15
44.83.3
37.540.8
Auto1.0
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Second
47.51.1
43.544.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop47.5
End0.0
red by 10.5
5403
#11
37.03.3
25.829.1
Auto0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Third
1646
#30
23.41.1
17.318.4
Auto1.1
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 10.3
5484
#22
33.73.3
24.928.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0