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Red116
518857.7
427229.2
286740.8
Blue86
498231.6
46140.5
152928.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9885406012014016018011686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.8
48.549.3
Auto0.1
Teleop57.6
End0.0
red by 17.2
461
#19
40.50.2
35.935.7
Auto0.5
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Second
40.80.8
33.934.8
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 9.3
4982
#18
31.60.2
28.828.6
Auto1.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
4272
#26
29.20.8
17.218.0
Auto0.6
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 1.2
1529
#29
28.00.2
25.124.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.2
End0.0