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Red146
82945.8
317631.0
172047.5
Blue165
7152.8
448533.6
394746.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97134050150200250146165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.52.3
44.646.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop47.5
End0.0
blue by 5.3
71
#5
52.81.6
52.053.5
Auto1.1
Teleop51.8
End0.0
Second
829
#10
45.82.3
35.537.8
Auto1.2
Teleop44.6
End0.0
blue by 0.7
3947
#12
46.51.6
43.645.1
Auto1.1
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Third
3176
#25
31.02.3
26.729.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0
blue by 2.6
4485
#24
33.61.6
38.039.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0