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Red112
86844.8
101831.6
286740.8
Blue114
448533.6
29238.4
82945.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961120200300400500112114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#15
44.80.8
39.440.2
Auto1.0
Teleop43.8
End0.0
blue by 1.0
829
#10
45.80.0
37.837.8
Auto1.2
Teleop44.6
End0.0
Second
40.80.8
34.435.2
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 2.4
292
#16
38.40.0
36.236.3
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0
Third
1018
#21
31.60.8
28.429.2
Auto0.3
Teleop31.3
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4485
#24
33.60.0
39.639.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0