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Red144
386526.7
498231.6
150162.3
Blue144
44748.6
394038.2
540238.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921030200300400144144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.32.3
50.352.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop62.8
End0.0
red by 13.8
447
#13
48.61.9
41.043.0
Auto0.7
Teleop47.9
End0.0
Second
4982
#18
31.62.3
27.229.5
Auto1.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 6.7
5402
#14
38.31.9
31.433.4
Auto0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
Third
3865
#27
26.72.3
19.722.0
Auto0.6
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 11.5
3940
#20
38.21.9
32.934.8
Auto0.8
Teleop37.3
End0.0