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Red200
427229.2
46140.5
23479.2
Blue164
4534.2
13564.2
172047.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261330100200300400500200164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#1
79.23.4
76.079.5
Auto6.4
Teleop72.8
End0.0
red by 15.0
135
#2
64.21.3
58.659.9
Auto3.5
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Second
461
#19
40.53.4
35.539.0
Auto0.5
Teleop40.0
End0.0
blue by 7.0
47.51.3
46.948.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop47.5
End0.0
Third
4272
#26
29.23.4
19.923.3
Auto0.6
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 5.0
45
#28
34.21.3
31.633.0
Auto1.3
Teleop32.9
End0.0