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Red122
29238.4
548433.7
7152.8
Blue160
518857.7
286740.8
394038.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11811580100140160122160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#5
52.80.1
53.954.0
Auto1.1
Teleop51.8
End0.0
blue by 4.9
57.71.9
51.453.4
Auto0.1
Teleop57.6
End0.0
Second
292
#16
38.40.1
36.336.4
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0
blue by 2.4
40.81.9
35.237.1
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
5484
#22
33.70.1
30.030.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
blue by 4.5
3940
#20
38.21.9
34.836.7
Auto0.8
Teleop37.3
End0.0