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Red132
448533.6
518857.7
101831.6
Blue122
86844.8
44748.6
317631.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191106080100140160180132122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.5
53.453.9
Auto0.1
Teleop57.6
End0.0
red by 9.1
447
#13
48.60.3
46.346.6
Auto0.7
Teleop47.9
End0.0
Second
4485
#24
33.60.5
39.940.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
blue by 11.2
868
#15
44.80.3
39.940.2
Auto1.0
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Third
1018
#21
31.60.5
28.829.3
Auto0.3
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 0.5
3176
#25
31.00.3
29.029.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0