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Red162
13564.2
82945.8
548433.7
Blue198
23479.2
349438.3
29238.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120149050100200250300162198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#2
64.22.2
61.263.4
Auto3.5
Teleop60.7
End0.0
blue by 15.0
234
#1
79.22.4
79.982.3
Auto6.4
Teleop72.8
End0.0
Second
829
#10
45.82.2
38.140.3
Auto1.2
Teleop44.6
End0.0
red by 7.4
292
#16
38.42.4
36.438.7
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0
Third
5484
#22
33.72.2
30.132.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
blue by 4.7
3494
#17
38.32.4
33.936.3
Auto1.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0