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Red110
394746.5
498231.6
540238.3
Blue81
174738.0
448533.6
540337.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111108608010012014016018011081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#12
46.50.1
46.546.3
Auto1.1
Teleop45.4
End0.0
red by 8.6
1747
#23
38.01.7
35.533.9
Auto0.1
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
5402
#14
38.30.1
36.035.9
Auto0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
red by 1.3
5403
#11
37.01.7
38.236.5
Auto0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Third
4982
#18
31.60.1
30.430.3
Auto1.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4485
#24
33.61.7
40.438.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0