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Red148
46140.5
13564.2
386526.7
Blue132
317631.0
286740.8
102455.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141250200300400500148132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#2
64.21.7
63.465.1
Auto3.5
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 9.1
55.20.2
58.558.7
Auto2.8
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Second
461
#19
40.51.7
35.837.5
Auto0.5
Teleop40.0
End0.0
blue by 0.3
40.80.2
40.040.2
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
3865
#27
26.71.7
20.622.3
Auto0.6
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3176
#25
31.00.2
29.429.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0