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Red88
219724.8
394746.5
286740.8
Blue104
101831.6
540238.3
4534.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114915010015020088104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#12
46.51.3
47.446.0
Auto1.1
Teleop45.4
End0.0
red by 8.3
5402
#14
38.30.3
35.936.2
Auto0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
Second
40.81.3
40.238.8
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 6.7
45
#28
34.20.3
33.533.8
Auto1.3
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Third
2197
#31
24.81.3
27.025.7
Auto1.4
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 6.7
1018
#21
31.60.3
28.428.7
Auto0.3
Teleop31.3
End0.0