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Red128
150162.3
548433.7
152928.0
Blue163
46140.5
386526.7
518857.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411090100120130140150160128163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.30.5
59.259.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop62.8
End0.0
red by 4.6
57.72.4
54.657.0
Auto0.1
Teleop57.6
End0.0
Second
5484
#22
33.70.5
31.331.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
blue by 6.9
461
#19
40.52.4
37.539.9
Auto0.5
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Third
1529
#29
28.00.5
26.527.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 1.3
3865
#27
26.72.4
22.324.8
Auto0.6
Teleop26.0
End0.0