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Red166
448533.6
29238.4
13564.2
Blue152
150162.3
4534.2
164623.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14210450200166152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#2
64.21.2
65.266.4
Auto3.5
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 1.9
62.31.9
59.861.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop62.8
End0.0
Second
292
#16
38.41.2
40.541.7
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0
red by 4.2
45
#28
34.21.9
33.835.7
Auto1.3
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Third
4485
#24
33.61.2
35.636.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 10.2
1646
#30
23.41.9
20.622.5
Auto1.1
Teleop22.2
End0.0