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Red63
4534.2
448533.6
317631.0
Blue128
548433.7
101831.6
386526.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106785015063128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#28
34.21.5
35.734.2
Auto1.3
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 0.5
5484
#22
33.72.1
31.633.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Second
4485
#24
33.61.5
36.935.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 2.0
1018
#21
31.62.1
29.431.6
Auto0.3
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Third
3176
#25
31.01.5
32.831.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
3865
#27
26.72.1
24.526.7
Auto0.6
Teleop26.0
End0.0