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Red140
394746.5
349438.3
518857.7
Blue136
286740.8
29238.4
174143.1
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14511550100200140136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.3
59.759.4
Auto0.1
Teleop57.6
End0.0
red by 14.6
43.10.6
43.343.9
Auto2.2
Teleop40.9
End0.0
Second
3947
#12
46.50.3
47.046.8
Auto1.1
Teleop45.4
End0.0
red by 5.7
40.80.6
40.541.1
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
3494
#17
38.30.3
39.038.7
Auto1.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0
blue by 0.1
292
#16
38.40.6
40.340.9
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0