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Red126
7152.8
150162.3
540238.3
Blue178
102455.2
23479.2
29238.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15017450100200250300126178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.30.6
64.363.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop62.8
End0.0
blue by 16.9
234
#1
79.20.0
80.480.4
Auto6.4
Teleop72.8
End0.0
Second
71
#5
52.80.6
54.754.2
Auto1.1
Teleop51.8
End0.0
blue by 2.4
55.20.0
56.456.4
Auto2.8
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Third
5402
#14
38.30.6
40.239.6
Auto0.0
Teleop38.2
End0.0
blue by 0.1
292
#16
38.40.0
39.639.6
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0