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Red134
174738.0
174143.1
498231.6
Blue123
86844.8
82945.8
349438.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104128050150200250300134123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.4
42.843.1
Auto2.2
Teleop40.9
End0.0
blue by 2.6
829
#10
45.80.0
45.845.8
Auto1.2
Teleop44.6
End0.0
Second
1747
#23
38.00.4
37.638.0
Auto0.1
Teleop37.8
End0.0
blue by 6.9
868
#15
44.80.0
44.844.8
Auto1.0
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Third
4982
#18
31.60.4
31.231.6
Auto1.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 6.8
3494
#17
38.30.0
38.338.3
Auto1.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0