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Red124
286740.8
172047.5
394038.2
Blue144
102455.2
23479.2
29238.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11218150150200250124144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.50.0
47.647.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop47.5
End0.0
blue by 31.7
234
#1
79.20.5
80.479.9
Auto6.4
Teleop72.8
End0.0
Second
40.80.0
40.940.8
Auto1.8
Teleop39.0
End0.0
blue by 14.4
55.20.5
56.455.9
Auto2.8
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Third
3940
#20
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto0.8
Teleop37.3
End0.0
blue by 0.2
292
#16
38.40.5
39.639.1
Auto1.1
Teleop37.3
End0.0